The Messenger reports:
A Noble Predictive Insights poll conducted via online panel October 25-31 among 1,010 registered voters found Democrat Rep. Ruben Gallego leading a hypothetical three-way Senate race with 39% support, followed by 2022 GOP gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake at 33% and the incumbent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema at 29%.
Sinema has yet to say whether or not she will seek a second term, but she is running behind the Democratic and Republican candidates.
The data shows that Sinema is pulling more Republican votes from Lake than Democratic votes from Gallego. Her coalition in this survey includes 49% of Independents, 23% of Republicans, and 12% of Democrats.
Read the full article.
#AZSen: A Noble Predictive Insights poll (Oct. 25-31, 1,010 RVs) found a tight hypothetical three-way matchup
— Matt Holt (@mattholt33) November 16, 2023